That being said...

270towin.com has a map with a button. Push the button and see how the election might go, if it were held today. It's fun to push the button and watch the states come in red or blue. Then do it again and again to see what changes and what stays the same. According to their disclaimer...

There has been some confusion about what the simulator is actually calculating. The simulator is NOT a prediction of the outcome of the election. It merely takes representative state polls (or averages of multiple polls where appropriate) and answers the question: If the election were today, what is the range of likely outcomes? However, the election is not today. A change in the polls of just 1-2% in a few pivotal states could yield totally different simulator results.

That being said, during the last 1,000 simulations run, Obama won 99.9% of the time. Among the simulations, Obama averages 339 Electoral College votes, well more than the 270 required to win.